A live data snapshot of Polymarket sports markets on May 4, 2026 — NBA playoff probabilities, NBA Finals futures liquidity, MLB moneylines, and what the crowd-implied odds mean compared to traditional sportsbooks.
A Houston-based CFTC-regulated introducing broker structured an OTC block trade between a hedge fund and Jump Trading on a carbon credit event contract — marking the moment institutional money formally arrived in prediction markets.
Ohio Senate Bill 430 would require Kalshi, Robinhood, and Polymarket to obtain OCCC licenses and pay the state’s 20% sports betting tax. Here is what it means for operators and the regulatory landscape.
Iowa SF 2470 has cleared a House subcommittee with a 45-1 Senate mandate behind it. Here is why the regulate-and-tax approach to prediction markets is gaining traction and what it means for operators.
The CFTC filed an amicus brief at the Massachusetts SJC asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over Kalshi on the same day 38 state attorneys general filed a brief on the opposite side. It is the clearest picture yet of how lopsided…
The American Gaming Association and the Indian Gaming Association have issued a joint letter to Congress calling for legislation to ban sports event contracts on prediction market platforms. Two organizations that do not always agree are now aligned against the…
Senator Bernie Moreno introduced a resolution to bar senators from prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. With bipartisan echoes in the Senate and House, the push to ban congressional trading on event contracts may finally have legs.
The CFTC and DOJ filed suit against New York on April 24, 2026, while simultaneously filing an amicus brief in Massachusetts — escalating the fight over who regulates prediction markets into a full federal-versus-state legal war.
FanDuel’s New Ventures III entity filed with the NFA on April 9 to register as an independent Futures Commission Merchant — a move that signals the company wants to operate prediction markets on its own terms, free from its CME…
Kalshi just banned and fined three congressional candidates for betting on their own races — but Congress already has at least seven bills in play targeting prediction market oversight.
