Bobby Witt Jr. at 52%: Breaking Down the 2026 AL Platinum Glove Prediction Market
The defending champion holds a commanding market edge, but the underlying defensive metrics reveal a tighter race than the odds suggest. Here is the full breakdown.
PredictionMarkets
World Cup Prediction Markets Hit $3 Billion as France Leads the Field at 19%
The 2026 World Cup Winner market has crossed $3 billion in total trading volume. Breaking down what France at 19%, Argentina at 15%, and Messi vs. Mbappé for the Golden Boot mean analytically — plus tonight’s Ohtani-Dodgers start.
Poll: Americans Strongly Prefer Sports Betting Markets Over Political Prediction Contracts, New Survey Finds
A new POLITICO/Public First poll finds that 44% of Americans believe betting on election outcomes should be unlawful, while more than half support legalizing sports event prediction market contracts. The survey reveals a sharp generational divide, with 12% of adults…
Meta Is Building “Arena,” a Prediction Market App to Compete With Kalshi and Polymarket
Mark Zuckerberg has assembled a small internal team to build “Arena,” a standalone prediction market app that would compete directly with Kalshi and Polymarket. The project is early-stage and may not launch, but Meta’s 3-billion-user reach would represent an unprecedented…
Charles Schwab Partners With Cboe to Launch Binary Options on the S&P 500, Entering the Prediction Market Space
Charles Schwab is working with Cboe Global Markets to offer binary all-or-nothing options contracts tied to the S&P 500, giving mainstream retail investors access to a prediction market-style product through a major brokerage.
Prediction Markets Shatter Records With $12.2 Billion in Weekly Volume and $1.48 Billion in Open Interest as World Cup Betting Surges
Prediction markets posted back-to-back record weeks, reaching $12.2 billion in weekly notional volume and $1.48 billion in open interest, with the World Cup driving nearly half of all sports-related trading activity.
California and Minnesota AGs Tell CFTC to Back Off Prediction Markets, Argue Federal Agency Is Unfit to Handle Gambling Harms
California AG Rob Bonta and Minnesota AG Keith Ellison publicly challenged the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets, arguing the commodities regulator lacks the tools and expertise to manage gambling addiction and social harms.
House Republicans Introduce Bill Banning Congress Members and Families From Betting on Prediction Markets
House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil has introduced the Stop Lawmakers From Predicting Act, a bill that would prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, and dependent children from placing bets on prediction markets tied to political outcomes or government policy.
Breaking Down the Numbers Behind MLB’s Hottest Prediction Markets: ERA Title Odds and the Acuña Triple Race
Over million in 24-hour trading volume is flowing through three MLB prediction markets on ERA leaders and the Acuña Jr. triples race — here’s what the data says.
MLB World Series Futures Hit $30 Million in Volume: What Polymarket and Kalshi Odds Tell Bettors
Over $30 million in trading volume has hit Polymarket’s World Series futures market. Here is how prediction market odds compare to sportsbook lines across the Dodgers, Yankees, Braves, and MLS Cup.
DraftKings Predictions Platform Hits $1.3 Billion in Annualized Volume as World Cup Fuels Rapid Growth
DraftKings Predictions hit $1.3 billion in annualized volume in May — up 24% from April — as the World Cup drives a surge in event contract trading on the platform.
Nine European Gambling Regulators Launch Coordinated Crackdown on Unlicensed Prediction Markets During World Cup
Nine European gambling regulators — from Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, and Switzerland — have launched a coordinated crackdown on unlicensed prediction market platforms during the World Cup.