3 NHL Goal Scorer, Points and Assists Props to Back on November 9

Monday’s NHL card is only three games deep, but it is a sharp one for player markets: Rangers at Oilers at 8:00 p.m. ET, Flyers at Canucks at 9:30 p.m. ET, and Islanders at Sharks at 10:00 p.m. ET. Short slates concentrate the value, and when the board is this thin the goal-scorer, points, and assists markets are where the numbers separate from the narrative.

Each of the three plays below is built on recent production, role, and a specific matchup edge rather than a name-brand hunch. Lines move, so check your book before you fire, but these are the prices on the board as of Monday morning.

Connor McDavid Over 0.5 Power-Play Points

McDavid has cleared this number in 9 of his last 10 games and in all 5 of his last 5, and the market has barely adjusted: ESPN BET is showing -115, with Hard Rock sitting at -110. For a player who runs the top unit in Edmonton and touches the puck on nearly every man-advantage possession, that is a very friendly price.

The counterargument is obvious on paper. The Rangers rank first in the league in power-play points allowed per game at 0.94. But New York is just 4-6 over its last 10, Edmonton is a heavy home favorite, and a road team chasing the game tends to take the penalties that feed a top unit. The Rangers are leaning on Dylan Garand in net with Igor Shesterkin out for the season, and neither side had confirmed a starter at last check, which pushes the game environment toward volume.

The Oilers sit around -155 on the moneyline, and if you are building the rest of your card at a FanDuel promo code sportsbook or anywhere else, this is the cleanest single-leg price of the night for a player who has virtually never missed this market lately.

Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 Points

The Islanders’ rookie defenseman is the engine of their offense. Schaefer has 16 points in 16 games this season on 5 goals and 11 assists, exactly 1.0 point per game, and he has recorded at least one point in 8 of his last 10, including a three-point night at Minnesota on Oct. 29.

The price reflects that. Covers shows the over at about -215, so this is a heavy number, and you are paying for reliability. What justifies it is usage: Schaefer is logging more than 26 minutes a night on a team that needs him to generate offense from the back end. San Jose comes in at 7-11-1 and has lost five straight, so the Sharks are not the kind of opponent that shuts down a defenseman who is driving play.

The risk is a team-level stall. The Islanders have dropped three in a row, including a 5-4 overtime loss to New Jersey on Saturday, so they are not a juggernaut. But even in that game Schaefer found a point. When a player’s production is this independent of the final score, a short price on the over is a fair trade for the certainty.

Matvei Michkov Anytime Goal at Vancouver

This is the price play on the card. Michkov leads Philadelphia with 10 goals, five of them on the power play, on 27 shots on goal. At roughly +230 for an anytime goal at Covers, you are getting a plus-money number on the Flyers’ best finisher against the league’s worst opponent.

Vancouver is 3-15-1, last in the NHL by points percentage at .184, and on a five-game losing streak. Over their last 10 the Canucks are 1-9-0 while allowing 4.3 goals per game, which is the kind of defensive bleeding that turns a volume shooter into a profitable anytime scorer. The Flyers are modest favorites around -122 to -136 with the total at 6.5, so the market is not expecting a grind.

The Flyers are 4-10-5 and fell in overtime to Calgary on Sunday, so the group is far from comfortable. But goal-scorer props are about opportunity, and Michkov is a first option on the power play against a team that cannot get out of its own zone. At plus money you only need him to find the net in roughly three of ten tries to break even.

Lock These In

Each of the three plays has a clear reason behind it: a streak the market is slow to price for McDavid, a high floor for Schaefer, and a plus-money finisher against the league’s worst team in Michkov. Confirm lines and starting goalies before puck drop, since the Rangers-Oilers goaltending was still unannounced at last check.

• Connor McDavid OVER 0.5 power-play points (-110 to -115)
• Matthew Schaefer OVER 0.5 points (about -215, check your book)
• Matvei Michkov anytime goal at Vancouver (about +230, check your book)

Shop the number, pass on any price that moves meaningfully, and let the volume of chances do the rest.