Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction: Milwaukee Eyes Series Sweep in St. Louis on July 9

The Milwaukee Brewers close out a four-game NL Central set at Busch Stadium on Thursday night, arriving in St. Louis having already claimed the first three games of the series and riding the best record in the National League. First pitch for the finale between the Brewers and Cardinals is set for 7:45 PM ET, with Milwaukee looking to complete the sweep against a Cardinals club that has dropped four straight.

Milwaukee enters at 58-33, comfortably atop the division and winners of eight of its last ten games. St. Louis sits at 47-43, third in the NL Central and 10.5 games back after this week’s skid, which includes a doubleheader sweep on Tuesday that saw the Brewers win 10-2 and 4-3 before taking Wednesday’s game as well. The Cardinals have not solved Milwaukee all series and now need a strong final start from their rotation just to avoid a sweep at home.

Where the Odds Stand Entering the Finale

Books have Milwaukee as the moneyline favorite at -136, with St. Louis priced at +113 as the home underdog. The run line has the Brewers at -1.5 (+124) and the Cardinals at +1.5 (-149), while the total sits at 8.5 runs. Milwaukee has covered as the favorite in 66.1% of its games as a moneyline favorite this season, and the Brewers have been favored in each of the three meetings so far this week, winning all of them. St. Louis, by contrast, has won just 52.5% of its games when entering as an underdog.

Henderson and Pallante Headline a Contrasting Pitching Matchup

Milwaukee hands the ball to right-hander Logan Henderson, who has been outstanding in a limited sample this season, posting a 2-1 record with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP across 23 innings, striking out 30 batters against just six walks. St. Louis counters with Andre Pallante, who has logged a much heavier workload at 95 innings with a 10-5 record, a 3.60 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP, adding 70 strikeouts. Pallante has been a workhorse for the Cardinals rotation, but he has allowed a .245 opponent batting average and has struggled to keep the Brewers’ potent lineup off the bases in previous meetings this year.

The Brewers’ pitching staff has been the best in the league by the numbers, posting a combined 3.32 ERA and 1.18 WHIP as a team, compared to St. Louis at 4.12 and 1.33. That gap has shown up repeatedly this week, with Milwaukee’s bullpen shutting the door in all three wins so far in this series.

Milwaukee’s Lineup Depth Versus St. Louis’ Power Bats

Christian Yelich has settled into the leadoff role for Milwaukee, hitting .242 with a .326 on-base percentage, while Jackson Chourio has emerged as the club’s biggest offensive threat, slashing .282 with 13 home runs and a .502 slugging mark out of the two-hole. Catcher William Contreras has been steady all year at .284 with a .349 on-base percentage, and first baseman Jake Bauers has quietly been a key run producer, hitting .265 with 16 home runs and 54 RBIs while platooning between first base and left field.

St. Louis counters with Jordan Walker, who has broken out as one of the better young hitters in the National League this year, batting .292 with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs while earning his first career All-Star selection. Walker has been nearly the only consistent offensive threat for the Cardinals in this series, and St. Louis will need him to carry a lineup that managed just seven runs combined across the first three games against Milwaukee’s pitching staff.

Injuries have compounded the Cardinals’ problems. Third baseman Ramon Urias remains on the 60-day injured list with an elbow issue and is not expected back until late July, while reliever Max Rajcic is out indefinitely with elbow discomfort. Milwaukee has its own bullpen pieces sidelined in Rob Zastryzny and Carlos Rodriguez, but the Brewers have had enough organizational pitching depth to avoid any drop-off through this series.

Bettors comparing DraftKings promo code offers against other MLB markets this week will find plenty of value on both sides of the total, given how sharply the pitching staffs have separated in this matchup. For those looking at additional markets beyond the run line, a FanDuel promo code can be applied to prop bets on Chourio or Walker, both of whom have been the most productive hitters in the series.

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Sat, Sep 12 • 7:11 PM	Spread	Money	Total
Cincinnati Reds	+1.5 (-140)	+160	O 8.5 (-105)
Milwaukee Brewers	-1.5 (109)	-190	U 8.5 (-115)

Prediction and Best Bet

Milwaukee’s pitching advantage has been the deciding factor in every game of this series, and Logan Henderson’s dominant rate stats give the Brewers the edge on the mound again in the finale. St. Louis has not shown enough offensively against Milwaukee’s staff to suggest a turnaround in the last game of the set, and the Cardinals’ bullpen has been gassed after the doubleheader.

• Prediction: Brewers 5, Cardinals 3
• Best Bet: Brewers on the moneyline

With Milwaukee getting the far superior starting pitching matchup and having already dominated this series on both sides of the ball, laying the price on the Brewers’ moneyline is the more sensible play than reaching for the run line against a Cardinals team that has been unable to find any offensive rhythm all week.