Skip to content
NFL

Steelers vs. Browns: 4 Player Props and Predictions for Thursday Night Football

Need help betting on Thursday Night Football's Steelers vs. Browns showdown? Our NFL expert chimes in with his 4 best player props for November 21.

Max Gilson Bettors Insider
Max Gilson

The 8-2 red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers travel to take on the struggling 2-8 Browns. In this rivalry game, look at Jaylen Warren and Nick Chubb’s yard totals to continue a positive trend.

RB Jaylen Warren (PIT) OVER 54.5 Total Yards

Jaylen Warren has been an unsung hero this season for the Steelers offense. Warren, the 3rd-year-RB, has come alive since returning from injury.

He’s gone for 50+ total yards in each of his four outings, while turning into one of Russell Wilson’s key targets on 3rd down and short yardage situations. In his last two outings against Cleveland, Warren has gone off, going for 86 yards and 145 yards in two games at the end of 2023.

While Najee Harris is still in the backfield chewing away at touches, Warren’s 10 to 15 touches should get him the yardage we need in what could become a great game script for him.

TE David Njoku (CLE) OVER 4.5 Receptions

The Winston to Njoku connection might be a fantasy league-winner or better yet, a money maker. Njoku got hot around this time last season with Flacco, going for 50+ yards in four of his last six, catching 5+ passes in five of his last six, and scoring 4 TDs over his last six games in 2023.

Looking ahead to this matchup, the athletic tight end has gone 4/9/4/4/7 receptions against Pittsburgh over his last five and in a game that could get lopsided early, Winston should look his way early and often. Njoku has gone five straight games hitting this prop.

RB Jerome Ford (CLE) UNDER 30.5 Total Yards

We are going against the backup Browns running back on TNF. Ford has only received 9 total carries over his last three games as Nick Chubb gradually continues to hold that RB1 role.

For Ford, it’s doubtful that five or six total touches will give him 31+ yards against one of the better defenses in football who’s playing extremely well. The Steelers allow just 78 yards on the ground and 37 yards through the air per contest to opposing running backs.

With Chubb getting more and more involved, this is a game where Jerome Ford might be phased out of the game plan.

RB Nick Chubb (CLE) OVER 52.5 Rush Yards

Chubb is coming off a planned low-usage game, with Coach Stefanski looking ahead to this Thursday night matchup to get Chubb back to 100%.

Nick has played well against Pittsburgh over the last few seasons, hitting the 60-yard mark on the ground in each of his last five games.

A rested Chubb getting around 14 carries is all he’ll need in order to hit this mark and with the Browns searching for any sign of life and hope at this point in the season, they should lean on what could be the Comeback Player of the Year in the redzone.

Subscribe for NFL updates

Join our newsletter to get the latest straight to your inbox!