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DeForest Buckner Trade: 49ers Land Colts DT for Fourth-Round Pick, Tightening NFC West Grip

The 49ers reacquired DT DeForest Buckner from the 2-5 Colts for a 2027 fourth-round pick. Here is what it means for NFC West odds, Super Bowl futures and the Colts' rebuild.

Max Gilson Bettors Insider
Max Gilson

The San Francisco 49ers have reacquired defensive tackle DeForest Buckner from the Indianapolis Colts, sending a 2027 fourth-round pick to Indianapolis in a deal announced Tuesday. The three-time Pro Bowler returns to the franchise that made him the seventh overall pick in 2016, and he lands with a team that sits at 6-1 and atop the NFC West heading into its bye week.

The move came hours after the Colts shipped All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson to the division-rival Seattle Seahawks, and it cements Indianapolis as sellers at 2-5. Buckner, who had reportedly voiced frustration with life on a struggling Colts team, trades a franchise that has not made the playoffs since 2020 for one of the league’s most surprising contenders.

Why San Francisco Needed Buckner

The 49ers have been battered up front. Star edge rusher Nick Bosa has appeared in only two games this season, and rookies Romello Height and Gracen Halton and 2025 first-rounder Mykel Williams have all dealt with injuries. Defensive tackle Alfred Collins is out for the year with a knee injury, and C.J. West is also sidelined. Keion White leads the team with 3.5 sacks, which gives Buckner an immediate path to becoming the centerpiece of the pass rush.

Buckner, 32, is still producing. He started all seven games for Indianapolis, piling up 31 tackles and four sacks while playing 82 percent of the defensive snaps, and Pro Football Focus credited him with 20 quarterback pressures. Across 158 career games with San Francisco and Indianapolis he has 75.5 sacks, 101 tackles for loss and nine forced fumbles. He is in the final season of a two-year, $46 million contract, so the 49ers are essentially renting an interior disruptor for the stretch run, with the option to talk extension later.

The reunion also carries history. Buckner was a core piece of the rebuild Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch began in 2017 and helped the Niners reach the Super Bowl following the 2019 season. San Francisco traded him to Indianapolis in 2020 for a first-round pick, a move Shanahan and Lynch have described as one of the toughest they have made. The Niners have been chasing a true replacement ever since.

Colts Rebuild Takes Shape

Indianapolis is wasting little time. The Colts fired general manager Chris Ballard last week after a home loss to previously winless Tennessee, and interim GM Ed Dodd is already stockpiling draft capital. The team does not hold its own 2027 first-round pick, which went to the New York Jets, so the Buckner and Nelson trades have brought in a 2027 third-round pick, a 2027 fourth-round pick and a 2028 fifth-rounder. Running back Jonathan Taylor, defensive lineman Grover Stewart and wide receiver Josh Downs have all been mentioned as possible trade candidates ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline, so more activity could follow.

What It Means for the NFC West Odds and Futures

The market already loved San Francisco before this trade. The 49ers overtook the Los Angeles Rams as Super Bowl favorites after their 6-0 start and were described as the heaviest division favorites in the NFL. Lines vary by book and move daily, but recent listings have had San Francisco around -290 to -325 to win the NFC West and roughly +550 to +650 to win the Super Bowl. On the prediction-market side, Kalshi has shown the 49ers at about 74 percent to win the division, 25 percent to win the NFC and 15 percent to win the title. With those numbers already baked in, expect the Buckner deal to firm up the 49ers’ futures price rather than send it soaring, since the real value of the addition is as injury insurance for a thinned-out front.

The more interesting angle is the Week 12 meeting. San Francisco hosts Seattle on Sunday, Nov. 29, at Levi’s Stadium, and the Seahawks just added Nelson to their offensive line while the Niners added Buckner to their defensive front. Early lines for that game have been tight, so any shift in how bettors rate each team’s trenches could push the spread. The Seahawks, at 4-3, are second in the division, and the Rams remain the other team to watch if San Francisco’s injuries pile up again.

For player props, Buckner’s sack total is the market to monitor once lines are posted for his new team. He has four sacks through seven games in Indianapolis, and a defense that can pair him with healthier rotation pieces may free him up for more one-on-one opportunities. Tackle and pressure props could also move if he sees the same snap share he had with the Colts. Bettors should keep in mind that reports indicated the trade was subject to a physical, and any limitation in workload would change the picture.

Sun, Nov 15 • 4:25 PMSpreadMoneyTotal
San Francisco 49ers
-4.5
(-110)
-215
O 56
(-108)
Dallas Cowboys
+4.5
(-120)
+190
U 55
(-110)

On the Colts side, the sell-off points toward a rough finish. At 2-5 with a thinning roster, no first-round pick in 2027 and several veterans potentially on the move, Indianapolis is likely to be a regular underdog, which makes its remaining schedule a market worth watching as spreads adjust to the roster changes.

The Buckner trade is a small price for San Francisco and a clear signal from both franchises about where they stand. The 49ers are going for it, the Colts are building for 2027, and the NFC West race just got a little more physical in the trenches.

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