RT’s Spot Plays
08.06.22
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If the rain comes, I do not bet off tracks.
Saratoga R5|Post Time: 2:50 pm ET
Turf 1 1/16 Miles|4↑ Restricted Fasig-Tipton Lure Stakes|Purse: $135K
A lot of money is going to bet down the Chad/Flavien tandem with 1-Public Sector (2/1) and I am fading him based upon reaching his 108 Equibase score last out; his highest to date and as a four year old going into his fourteenth race, this type is likely to not repeat that number. Instead, 8-Somelikeithotbrown (5/2) and 6-T D Dance (15/1) look favorable to me. T D Dance has the best improvement in numbers in his last two over the rest of the field, so he can be a threat. Somelikeithotbrown is 3:2-1-0 at Saratoga and pops a nice 1:01 am work on July 30 and gets Irad today. The choice.
Saratoga R7|Post Time: 3:58 pm ET
The Grade 2 Glens Falls Stakes
Turf 1.5 Miles|4yo↑|Purse: $250K
Will 6-War Like Goddess (1/2) be ousted today? Very doubtful. This son of English Channel brings a 2/2 record at Saratoga for $468K, 1/1 this year for $186K, 3/3 for $414K at the distance, and a lifetime 9/7-0-1 record for $1.1M, dwarfing the remainder of the field. Chad/Irad has 2-Virginia Joy (5/2) and I would not waste a nickel trying to beat War Like Goddess with this German bred. If any horse stands a chance against the favorite, it would be 1-Temple City Terror (12/1) who has stronger numbers of late than Virginia Joy, yet is nowhere near the favorite. Single War Like Goddess with great confidence today.
Saratoga R9|Post Time: 5:07 pm ET
The Grade 1 Test Stakes
Dirt 7 Furlongs|3YO|Purse: $500K
I am taking a shot vertically with 4-Wish You Well (12/1) against 1-Matareya (2/5) and using those two vertically. I realize this is a big ask for this American Freedom filly, yet her second, which was her last race, was in a quagmire and she has plenty of upside potential to improve off of her first out 88 Equibase score.
Saratoga R10|Post Time: 5:43 pm ET
The Grade 1 Whitney Stakes
Dirt 1 1/8 Miles|4yo↑|Purse: $1M
Game over. Nobody beats 6-Life Is Good (6/5) today
Saratoga R11|Sat Aug 06|Post Time: 6:20 PM ET
The Grade 1 Saratoga Derby Invitational Stakes
Turf 1 & 3/16 Miles|3YO|Purse: $1M
Yesterday at Saratoga, streaky trainer Graham Motion won with Good Measure in the 5th and True Valour in the 9th just missed by a head to heavily favoured Golden Pal. In this race, he saddles 8-Sy Dog (12/1) and 7-Royal Patronage (10/1) and I am going to take a shot with Graham’s streak and go with 7-Royal Patronage in the hopes his second race in the U.S. can return him to his 115 Equibase number at York in a Group 2 event.
Happy Hunting All!!