Free Thursday SmartCap Horse Racing Picks for the 1st through 6th at Aqueduct

Spartiatis racing at Aqueduct.
Spartiatis racing at Aqueduct.Annette Jasko | NYRA
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Today, February 20th, 2020, we’re going to give you a different perspective on today’s first six races at Aqueduct. Due to limitations, we cannot provide you with all six SmartCap graphs.

1st $60K MSW for NY bred fillies and mares that are four and up going six furlongs

Best Last - #6 Midnight Banker (7/5) 69/73

Best Last Two - #2 Anydayisherday (6/1) 76/60

Best Overall Speed – Anydayisherday 62.6

Best Overall Class – Midnight Banker 63.9

Selection(s): #6 w/exacta 6/1-2

Notes: #3 & #4 are both first time starters whose trainers record is 0% each. The third place finisher of #6 returned to win going from Equibase fig of 73 to 87. The winner of that race has yet to run. #1 Enough Love (8/5) retains jockey Jose Lezcano, is running in its second race off two year layoff and showed good spring last race. This almost feels like his second race, so look for improvement.

2nd One mile, $32K Claiming Race for four year olds and up

Best Last - #3 Royal Albert Hall (7/5) 88/104, #5 Majid (6/1) 75/106

Best Last Two – Royal Albert Hall 105/70

Best Overall Speed - #4 Siding Spring (8/5) 98

Best Overall Class – Majid 111.7, Royal Albert Hall 107.1, Siding Spring 104.5

Selection(s) #4 – will be the lone speed

Notes: #3’s trainer, Rob Atras coming off a hot week going 5:2-1-1, is 21% with Manny Franco. #4 is trained by Antonio Arriaga 25% and is 41% with Carmouche.

3rd $80K Optional Claimer for three year olds foaled in New York going six furlongs

Best Last - #4 Notorious Flirt (9/5) 99/104

Best Last Two - #2 Hold My Call (8/1) 87.5/290

Best Overall Speed - #4 Notorious Flirt 83.8, #3 Power Up Paynter (7/2) 83.8

Best Overall Class - #6 Mission Wrapitup (10/1) 71

Selection(s) – Notorious Flirt

Notes: #6’s trainer, Bruce Brown and jockey Eric Cancel, 25% wins. Cancel, hot jockey last week scoring 21:9-0-4. Set the pace last out before tiring and is with the #1 Impetuous (8/5) are the lone speed.

4th $60K MSW for NY foaled four year olds and up going one mile

Best Last - #2 Moonlight Now (6/1) 83/82 #7 Dancers For Token (6/5) 81/83

Best Last Two – Dancers For Token 91/64

Best Overall Speed – Dancers For Token 80.1

Best Overall Class – Dancers For Token 78.5

Selection(s): Moonlight Now

Notes: choker Trevor McCarthy is on #7 and has never raced for trainer Robbie Davis (0%). #2 retains leading rider Junior Alvarado. Solid works since last out.

5th $62.5K Optional Claimer going six furlongs for NW other than fillies and mares

Best Last - #3 Posse Needed (12/1) 118/78, #4 Our Circle Of Love (1/1) 81/107, #5 Slimey (6/1) 81/107

Best Last Two - #2 New Year’s Wish (8/5) 96/100, Our Circle Of Love 96/100

Best Overall Speed – Posse Needed 127.3

Best Overall Class – Our Circle Of Love 117.8

Selection(s): #4 Our Circle Of Love

Notes: #2 New Year’s Wish will take a lot of money as jockey/trainer combo hitting 28%. #4 has been beaten by a total of 23.5 lengths in its last two.

6th

Best Last - #2 Cause Of Action (7/2) 90/36, #3 Charge Ahead (5/2) 57/81

Best Last Two - #3 Charge Ahead (5/2)

Best Overall Speed – Charge Ahead 86.5

Best Overall Class – Charge Ahead 123.8

Selection(s): #3 Charge Ahead

Notes: #2’s trainer, Chris Engelhart, listed on Brisnet as the hottest trainer 11:5-1-1. #4 coming off a won and first claim for Mike Maker (15%). 23% with Jorge Vargas. #3 second on dirt after shipping from Woodbine’s tapeta. Retains Junior and should get an improved trip. #6 Justice Of War (2/1) will take money due to Rice/Lezcano (28%) connection.

Understanding SmartCap

We use Equibase for all information

· The graph on the right is the horse's last numbers

· The graph on the left is its overall figures.

· Bold Yellow means best; muted means second best and gray is worth mentioning

· The bottom number is the class rating; the top its speed

SmartCap analysis of the 6th race at Aqueduct
SmartCap analysis of the 6th race at AqueductRT

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