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Today we’re going to look at the 8th race from Parx. It’ll be sunny and close to 40̊ when this race goes off.
This is a $35K Optional Claimer for fillies and mares going one-mile race on the dirt for PA breds 3yo+.
SmartCap, with the help of Equibase, has identified the 3 -- Shemakesmehappy (3/1) as the strongest best last results, earning a 95/157. This was, however, on turf and whereas it shouldn’t be arbitrarily dismissed, it is well to keep in mind. The entries of 1 -- It’s A Journey (7/5) and 1a -- Gotta Be Strong (7/5), have reasons to be interested. #1 is coming off a convincing eight length win over state bred allowance foes last out and trainer Jamie Ness is winning 20% of the time after a win. The 1a has the second best figures for best last and an overall rating that’s near the top. 2 -- Mill And Gloria (7/2) has best overall class and nearly the best overall speed. Now, whom to bet? I believe we’re going to get a solid effort and the win from #3. It’s the second time Frankie Pennington is in the irons, she gets a cutback to a mile after leading most of last race and she gets protected claiming for her connections.
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SmartCap is an algorithm-based system that helps the horse player identify key contenders in a race.
Developed by a math prodigy from West Point, you will receive a graph like the one below, per race, when you order SmartCap.
The figures along the left represent each entrant's best last race with the top number being the speed and the bottom number is class. In this example, #10 comes out clearly ahead in class and speed which gives him an edge. Why is that number important? Because it identifies the horse that is in shape and like human sports competitions, the person(s) in the best shape usually win.
The figures on the right represent its overall rating. When you look at this graph, you will notice on the top far left, the track and race number. This is from a second race at Penn National. To the right of this is this race's class rating and its money – money being the separator for class. So, in this race, we have a $5K race and the class rating is 73. The 73 is the rating set by Equibase. At Penn 2 for this, you have a horse who raced a 62.9 overall versus a 106.2 overall. Now, #7 has a slightly better speed rating yet has been racing against lesser competition. Given the #10 having the best last and close speed rating, and by far best class, it would be a play. Which it did win going away.
If you are unfamiliar with Equibase, they are the most reliable source for PP’s in the industry. Additionally, one reason why you may see us posting picks to the same tracks is Equibase installed their own GPS technology at Mahoning Valley and Penn National and is the official timer at Golden Gate, Laurel, Woodbine and Pimlico.
A few rules of the road…
You must consult your PP’s regardless of what this chart tells you – especially in routes because this is where jockey skill makes the paramount difference. You can have the best horse in a certain race and if the jockey cannot work out a solid trip, it’s done.
Steer clear from an off track. Always check the weather before placing your order.
We are only providing you with a tool to identify potential horses in a race. You are directly responsible for your own wagering.
Pick your spots. It is a losing proposition to bet every race.
We rarely handicap maiden races and two-year-old races can be daunting – again, consult your pp’s before indulging.
Full Card - $29.95 or $4.95 per race.
More details at SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.