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Mexico Ends World Cup Opening-Game Curse With Chaotic 2-0 Win Over South Africa at the Azteca

Mexico finally broke their World Cup opening-game curse with a dominant 2-0 victory over South Africa at the Azteca — a match that produced three red cards, a World Cup opening game record, and sent Mexico's championship odds surging.

Max Gilson Bettors Insider
Max Gilson

Mexico’s long wait for a World Cup opening-game victory is finally over. In a chaotic, electric atmosphere at Mexico City’s Estadio Azteca, El Tri defeated South Africa 2-0 on Thursday evening to kick off the 2026 FIFA World Cup — a match that produced three red cards, a record for any World Cup opening game, and cemented a historic moment for the tournament’s largest edition ever staged.

More than 80,000 fans, the vast majority draped in Mexico green, packed the iconic stadium as the co-host nation made an emphatic statement in its first group stage contest. The result carries enormous weight: before Thursday, Mexico had never won a World Cup opening match — their record stood at five losses and two draws across previous tournaments, including a 1-1 draw against South Africa at the 2010 World Cup in Johannesburg. That streak is now history.

A Fast Start and Two Goals That Will Be Remembered

Mexico wasted no time setting the tone. Just nine minutes into the match, Julián Quiñones threaded a low shot through the legs of South Africa goalkeeper Rowen Williams, sending the Azteca into bedlam. It was the earliest goal scored in a World Cup match since Germany’s Philipp Lahm opened the 2006 tournament against Costa Rica after just six minutes — a record that stood for two decades.

South Africa showed flashes of resilience in the first half, pressing into Mexico’s half and testing a backline that had looked nervy on occasion. But the second half changed the complexion of the match entirely — and not just because of the scoreline. Veteran striker Raúl Jiménez, one of Mexico’s most experienced international forwards with more than 70 caps, headed home from close range in the 67th minute to double the lead and effectively end South Africa’s hopes of mounting a comeback. At 34 years old, Jiménez reminded everyone in the stadium why he was chosen to lead the line in a tournament played on home soil.

Three Red Cards Make World Cup History

If the goals told one story, the red cards told another. The match produced three dismissals — the most ever recorded in a World Cup opening game — in a sequence that referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio will not soon forget.

South Africa midfielder Sphephelo Sithole was the first to go, receiving a straight red card in the 49th minute after bringing down Brian Gutiérrez on the edge of the box when through on goal. Playing with ten men for the bulk of the second half put Bafana Bafana in an impossible position on the world’s biggest stage. Then, in the 84th minute, Themba Zwane was dismissed following a VAR review after striking Roberto Alvarado in the face — a moment that drew a chorus of boos from the stands and confirmed South Africa’s nightmare afternoon. It marked the first time any team had received two red cards in a single World Cup match since the Netherlands and Portugal were each shown two in their infamous 2006 clash in Germany.

The drama was not finished. In stoppage time, Mexico’s own César Montes was shown a red card at the 90+2 mark, a moment that dampened the celebrations slightly but did nothing to change the result. By that point, the outcome had long been sealed, and the Azteca was already in full party mode.

Betting Markets Respond Immediately

The victory sent Mexico’s World Cup futures odds surging across major sportsbook promotions and wagering platforms. Mexico entered Thursday’s opener at +6500 to win the World Cup outright; by the final whistle, that number had tightened to +4500 as books adjusted to the reality of a confident, dominant co-host winning comfortably at home. Mexico’s odds to win Group A shifted from -140 before the tournament to -210 following the result, reflecting just how convincing the performance looked.

Raúl Jiménez, who provided the match-sealing header, now sits at +220 to be Mexico’s top scorer in the tournament — a number that will attract significant interest after his clinical finish on Thursday. Julián Quiñones, whose opening goal set the tone for the entire afternoon, is listed at +750 for the same market. Mexico are listed at -10000 to qualify from Group A, making advancement effectively a certainty in the eyes of the prediction markets.

For bettors looking ahead, Mexico’s next group stage match will determine whether Thursday’s performance reflected genuine title contention or simply the advantage of playing on home turf against a team widely expected to struggle. What is beyond dispute right now is that El Tri arrived at this tournament with something to prove — and on the opening night of the largest World Cup in history, they proved it loudly.

South Africa, for their part, now face an uphill battle to escape the group after starting with a loss and two red cards. Their campaign is not mathematically over, but the deficit in both points and personnel depth makes progress extremely difficult. For Mexico, the party at the Azteca is only just beginning — and for the first time in recent memory, their World Cup feels genuinely loaded with possibility.

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