If you plan on tailing, please do so with responsibility and caution. Before you tail, please read our introduction post on Bettors Insider describing who we are, our history, and our betting style. Additionally, check out our 6-month results report, as well as @FeintingtheLine on Twitter for all content. Best of luck with all your plays.
Granada v. Eibar | La Liga | 3:00 pm ET
THE PLAY: Granada PK @ -108 | .35u
THE PLAY: Granada ML @ +185 | .35u
Granada hosts an ailing Eibar side who has failed to win in fourteen straight league attempts and bottoms out the Spanish top competition table with a joint-worst 22 goals.
Our streak moves to eleven consecutive plus closing line value selections. The Granada draw no bet price has shortened to -139 at MarathonBet. Consequently, we claim $.21 (or .21u) of closing line value on that selection. The ML has shortened to +145 at William Hill, so we gain a clean $.40 (or .4u) of closing line value on that selection at the time of writing.
Although a ML price of +185 suggests a probability of 35.1% for our desired outcome, we estimate Diego Martinez’ Granada wins similarly poised matches at a 38.2% - 39.55% clip. Accordingly, we approximate a value edge of 3.1% - 4.45% on the ML play.
THE PLAYS
Granada PK @ -108 | .35u
Granada ML @ +185 | .35u
*To stay abreast on updates to plays, closing line value updates, results spreadsheets, and all Feinting the Line content, check out @FeintingtheLine on Twitter.