It was another rough performance for our Anytime TD props in Week 10, as we went 2-5 to run our season-long record to 18-25. That brings the deficit to -3.56 units, so we need a big week to get back in the black!
Ready to make the NFL Week 11 card even more fun? Our staff gives out their top Anytime Touchdown props! Good luck, sports betting amigos!
CLE at NO - 1:00 PM EDT
Well, why not ride the hot hand? The Saints have been riddled with injuries, taking out all of their top receivers. With Olave out with a concussion, Shaheed out for the season with a meniscus injury, and even Cedrick Wilson questioning for Sunday, who else is left?
To make a juicy 300+ line even better, Scantling caught 2 TD last week. It was against a shaky Atlanta defense, but still! They’re playing the Browns this week with Jameis starting at QB whose favorite thing in the world is giving his opponent excellent field position.
This may be the last game I put on my TV this weekend, but I have a good feeling that Carr and Scantling can connect again for a TD!
CLE at NO - 1:00 PM EDT
I've gotta get back in the win column this week and the Browns need a Nick Chubb comeback game. Cleveland found themselves down 21-3 last week and Chubb saw his snap count drop, but still managed to get 15 carries in the loss.
This is a dream matchup for Chubb as he faces arguably the worst run defense in the league. New Orleans is bottom 5 in the league in rushing yards allowed, yards per carry allowed, and rushing touchdowns allowed.
They gave up 181 rushing yards in a win last week and are giving up 183 rushing yards per game on average at home. Chubb saw a 36% snap share in week 7 but that jumped to 61% in week 8.
Now a full month into his return and coming off of a bye, we think he could see 50 snaps this week. He already leads the team with 12 red zone carries and I think that translates into a multi-touchdown game (+650) against this pathetic Saints defense.
BAL at PIT - 1:00 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown got me back into the winner's circle and I'm relying on Mr. Andrews to get me past Matty B and back into 1st place in our standings. After a slow start to 2024, Andrews has hit paydirt 5 times in his last 5 outings.
Pittsburgh has a tough defense, but they make most of their hay by stuffing the run. The Steelers rank right at league average against the tight end position, which gives us a pretty decent matchup in this spot. I'll take 2 to 1 on one of Lamar Jackson's favorite targets any day!
SEA at SF- 4:05 PM EDT
The misery continues for Yours Truly, as Cade Otton got plenty of targets last week but just couldn't find the end zone. Is this the week that I finally find a winner? I'm not sure, but I'm going to die on the hill with a KW III ticket in my hand!
San Fran has a lot of nice pieces on defense, but they do give up 1.2 rushing TDs per game this season. That ranks an atrocious 26th in the league, so Walker should have more than a couple of opportunities to find the end zone. The former Michigan State star has scored 7 TDs on the season, and I feel pretty good about him getting No. 8 in this one!
CLE at NO - 1:00 PM EDT
All aboard the Chubb Express. The Cleveland running back is getting back to normal volume, after he suffered one of the worst possible injuries on the football field, just a year ago.
New Orleans is giving up the second most yards per carry (5.2) and the 3rd most TDs to running backs this year (14) If Jameis can get the ball within the red zone a few times, Chubb should have more than a few opportunities to find the promised land. Love this play.
JAX at DET - 1:00 PM EDT
Amon-Ra St. Brown is my pick for an anytime touchdown at +110 odds as he faces off against the Jags this week. St. Brown is currently on a smoking hot streak, scoring at least 1 TD in each of his last 7 games. This just goes to show his consistency as Goff's most trusted target.
Even in a tough game where Goff struggled, throwing a whopping 5 interceptions, St. Brown still managed to have a decent performance with 6 catches for 60 yards and another TD.
This matchup against Jacksonville’s pass defense, which ranks near the bottom in the NFL is the perfect opportunity for St. Brown to notch another touchdown and keep his streak going.
Given his steady target share and ability to deliver big plays in the red zone, St. Brown is a no-brainer for an anytime TD as he will add to his season total and keep his scoring momentum alive.
LAR at NE - 1:00 PM EDT
I about fell out of my chair when I saw this great price on one of Matthew Stafford's favorite targets. FanDuel is being overly generous, and I don't mind taking them to the cleaners on this one. Nacua came back quicker than most Instagram doctors expected from the knee sprain he suffered in Week 1 against the Lions.
Even in the Rams' rough offensive performance on Monday Night Football against the Dolphins, Nacua still earned 14 targets. Nacua also gets a fabulous matchup against the lowly Patriots this week. New England ranks just 21st in yards per pass allowed this season! Give me Puka!
IND at NYJ - 1:00 PM EDT
I'm looking at the Jets this week to find my player for an anytime TD. The Jets enter week 11, 3-7. They might all be "must-win" games at this point for the Jets, but this one feels different. The New York Jets are hosting the Colts in the swamps of New Jersey on Sunday at 1 pm EST on CBS.
They trail the Colts (4-6) in the playoff standing and the Jets are on a bye next week. It's a must-win game. But don't take my word for it. When I asked Vito, my neighborhood hotdog vendor what he think about the Jets playoff hopes, he said "Rodgers better wake the $%&# up and throw some dimes this weekend, or we can Fuhgeddaboudit! "
So, I'm taking Breese Hall for a TD. He is a top 10 PPR RB this season with much of that value coming from the air. But he only has 4 total TDs this season. He is due, overdue I say! If the Jets are to win, Rodgers needs to let the stars of this team eat.
I also expect Garett Wilson and Davante Adam (questionable at the time of this publishing) to have big games, but I am leaning on Hall because he is a dual threat and because I think he is spicey, like Vito's chili dogs.
Bonus Pick time: This one is just for fun, but I have this feeling I can't shake that the Rams D will score on New England this week. +700 at FanDuel, I'll be dropping half a unit on this flyer.