The 3-2 Chargers travel to the desert to take on the 2-4 Cardinals, while the best defensive team will come out on top in the matchup of the 4-2 Ravens and Buccaneers.
In Derrick Henry’s two career games against the Bucs as a Titan, he put up 103 total yards - in two games. Tampa Bay has been able to keep running backs in check on the ground, allowing just 79.3 YPG to the position.
With that being said, Henry’s counterpunch Justice Hill could be in for a big game as the Bucs allow nearly a league-high 51.5 receiving yards per contest to running backs.
With the Tampa Bay front seven not allowing anything easy on the ground, Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry will have to work for every yard they get especially with Tampa’s defense coming off a huge game against the Saints where they stifled Alvin Kamara.
Chris Godwin has had a monster of a year so far. Godwin is 4th among WRs in slot snaps, taking over 57% of his snaps from this position which has easily made him Baker’s favorite target.
Furthermore, he’s coming off an 11-catch, 125-yard, 2-touchdown game against the Saints and will look to continue to dominate a Ravens defense that allowed a 10-catch, nearly 200-yard, and 2 TD game to Ja’Marr Chase just two weeks ago.
With this game potentially becoming a shootout, expect Baker to look Godwin’s way early and often as he looks to pick apart a Baltimore defense that allows the 3rd-most YPG to wideouts.
With Jim Harbaugh looking to keep the ball in Herbert’s hands for the majority of this game, I’m looking for the Cardinals to spice up their playbook and finally try and win the TOP battle by keeping the rock in their best player’s hands.
Kyler Murray has rushed seven times in each of the Cards' last two games - one a win against San Francisco and the other a loss to Green Bay. Now, Murray will face a Chargers defense that allows 4.2 carries per contest to opposing QBs as well as a secondary that allows just around 209 YPG.
With Marvin Harrison Jr. coming back from injury and K1 in the spotlight on primetime, I’m banking on his mobility outside the pocket to keep the Cardinals in this game.
Normally we stay away from 1st down prop bets, but JK Dobbins against the Arizona Cardinals rush defense is too enticing to leave on the table.
Arizona has allowed 125 YPG on the ground to opposing running backs this season while also allowing 30 yards through the air.
After Dobbins ran for 96 yards against Denver off a bye week, I’m looking for JK to get active early against Arizona, who has allowed 90, 98, and 113 total yards to starting RBs over the last three weeks.