The NBA Finals continues tonight with Game 4 between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 lead in the series. Denver is favored by 3 and the total is 211.
Denver was dominant in game 3 with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray each having a triple double. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo combined for 50 points but no other starter for Miami reached double digits. Miami had more points from their bench than Denver 28-24.
Player Props for Game 4: Jamal Murray is shooting over 50% in both Nugget victories. He is also getting over 9 assists a game. I expect those levels of production to continue. Take Murray over 7.5 assists. The price is -135. The price for Murray’s points is -125. He goes over in points as well.
Jimmy Butler to score over 26.5 points. The price is -129. Butler scored 28 in the last game on 11-24 shooting from the field. He will shoot a higher percentage with the same number of shots tonight. Take him over. Bam Adebayo over 10.5 rebounds. Adebayo’s price is -127. Bam has at least 9 rebounds in each game of the series. He goes over in a game he will play for at least 40 minutes.
The Selection: The Nuggets have led in most of the quarters in this series. The 4th quarter of Game 1 and 2 are the ones that Miami cut into Nuggets leads. Miami cannot fall 3-1 so this is a must game for them – a bounce back game for the other Heat starters. Slight lean-to Miami but taking the over 211.0. The games have zig zag with the total and the last game went under easily.
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