After turning a pack-of-gum profit last night, I'm sticking with player props and trying to incorporate some of what I've learned so far this season with a trio of bets with higher payouts.
For my longshot, I have confidence Bulls center Wendell Carter, Jr. will get the points, but the boards will be tough against Enes Kanter and Jusuf Nurkic. But that's why it's +315.
The disappointing Nets have been getting killed on the boards by players not named Rudy Gobert and tonight they're playing without Kevin Durant. The straight 13.5 Over rebounds is safer but the payout is better with the PRA so I'm counting on Gobert getting shots.
It seems as if Nikola Jokic is on the verge of a triple-double every night so at +135, why not? Especially with Karl-Anthony Towns out. The risk is a blowout gets him out of the game.
If the Bulls show up to play, CJ McCollum should score 23+ points. If it's an NBA blowout, I hope he has a big first half.
Payoffs based on $10 wagers.
3-pointer: Wendell Carter Jr. (Bulls) double-double +315 (returns $41.50)
2-pointer: Rudy Gobert (Jazz) Over 30.5 points, rebounds, assists +102 (returns $20.20)
Free throw: Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) triple-double +135 (returns $23.50)
Steal: CJ McCollum (Trail Blazers) Over 22.5 points -139 (returns $17.20)
Winners:
2-pointer: De'Andre Hunter (Hawks) Over 20.5 points, rebounds, assists +100 (returns $20.00). 23 points, 8 boards, 1 assist: Hunter easily beat his number. It was nice to win one without too much stress.
Steal: Stephen Curry (Warriors) Over 6.5 assists +110 (returns $21.00). Curry had 8 assists to go with 8 rebounds and 30 points and the Warriors won again.
Losers:
3-pointer: Elfrid Payton (Knicks) Over 24.5 points, rebounds, assists +106 (returns $20.60) Payton was effective with a 22 PRA in 28 minutes, but Immanuel Quickley came in for him in the 3rd quarter, played very well, and Payton never got back in the game.
Free throw: Mitchell Robinson (Knicks) Over 18.5 points, rebounds, assists -122 (returns $18.20) Robinson came up a bit short with 8 points and 7 boards.
$40 wagered (2-2), $41.00 returned.
Day 12: +$1.00
Total: -$111.25 (23-34 off 57 $10 wagers)