UFC 329 Best Bets: Picks for Every Fight on the McGregor vs Holloway 2 Card

UFC 329 lands at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, and the promotion has built a main card that delivers action from top to bottom. The headliner alone would carry most pay-per-views on its own, but this one backs it up with four more genuinely competitive matchups. The main card kicks off at 9pm ET on Paramount+, and every fight has real betting value if you know where to look.

Below is a moneyline pick for all five main card bouts, with the reasoning behind each call.

Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor: The Long-Awaited Rematch

Conor McGregor returns to the octagon for the first time in years, stepping in against Max Holloway in a 170-pound rematch of their 2013 featherweight clash. Holloway enters as the betting favorite in the -218 to -230 range, with McGregor sitting as the sizable underdog around +180 to +195. That gap reflects the layoff more than anything else. Holloway has stayed active, remains one of the sport’s most durable volume strikers, and has continued to compete at a high level in the featherweight and lightweight divisions. McGregor, by contrast, hasn’t fought competitively in a long time, and ring rust against a fighter with Holloway’s pace and output is a real concern.

Holloway’s gas tank and jab have historically caused problems for opponents who load up on single big shots, and McGregor’s counter-heavy style needs distance and timing that come from consistent reps. The pick here is Holloway on the moneyline. It’s not the flashy call, but the volume and cardio disadvantage for McGregor after this much time away is too significant to bet against.

Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett: Grinder Against Grappler

This lightweight matchup pits two fighters with very different toolkits against each other. Benoit Saint Denis is favored at roughly -142, and it’s easy to see why oddsmakers like him here. Saint Denis brings relentless forward pressure, heavy ground-and-pound, and a wrestling-based approach that has given plenty of lightweights trouble. Paddy Pimblett has improved his takedown defense over his career, but his path to victory typically runs through scrambles and a high-volume guard game rather than dictating where the fight takes place.

Saint Denis’s ability to close distance and turn the fight ugly in the clinch and on the mat gives him the higher floor in this one. The pick is Saint Denis on the moneyline, with a finish inside the distance a live possibility if he gets top position early.

Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista: Bantamweight Chess Match

Cory Sandhagen is favored at roughly -148 against Mario Bautista in a matchup between two of the more technically sound bantamweights on the roster. Sandhagen’s length, footwork, and creative striking have made him a consistent problem for fighters who like to walk forward, and Bautista’s wrestling-heavy, high-output style will need to close distance quickly to avoid getting picked apart from range.

Sandhagen has shown the ability to mix in takedown defense with sharp counters when opponents commit to entries, and that combination should be enough to keep Bautista at bay for the majority of the fight. The pick is Sandhagen on the moneyline in what should be a competitive, high-paced three rounds.

Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh: Rising Star Favored

Lone’er Kavanagh is the notable favorite on this main card at around -225 against veteran flyweight Brandon Royval. Kavanagh has built his UFC run on aggressive, high-volume striking combined with underrated grappling, and the number reflects how much confidence the market has in his trajectory. Royval remains a dangerous submission threat with plenty of experience against ranked competition, and he’s never an easy out for anyone in the division.

Still, the size of the line here suggests bettors and bookmakers alike view Kavanagh as the more explosive, faster-rising talent at this stage of both careers. The pick is Kavanagh on the moneyline, with his ability to create scrambles and finish exchanges giving him the edge in a fight that could end early.

King Green vs Terrance McKinney: Veteran Grit Meets Explosive Power

Rounding out the main card, Terrance McKinney is favored at roughly -148 over veteran King Green in a lightweight bout that has finish written all over it. McKinney has some of the fastest hands in the division and has ended multiple fights inside the opening minute of round one. Green, a longtime UFC veteran, brings craft, durability, and a granite chin that has survived years of high-level competition, giving him a path if he can weather the early storm.

The value here comes down to McKinney’s speed advantage in the opening exchanges. If he lands clean early, this fight likely doesn’t see round two. The pick is McKinney on the moneyline, with early finish potential making him the more attractive play for bettors looking at method-of-victory markets too.

Prediction and Best Bets

Across the full main card, the picks come down to Holloway, Saint Denis, Sandhagen, Kavanagh, and McKinney on the moneyline. The most confident of the five is Sandhagen, whose technical advantages line up cleanly against Bautista’s style, while McKinney offers the best combination of value and finish upside for anyone looking to add a bit more juice to a parlay. Bettors weighing where to place these wagers should shop around, since DraftKings promo code offers and other new-user deals from major operators can add extra value on a stacked card like this one.

For those building out a bigger ticket, pairing a couple of these favorites with a live underdog price on McGregor could be a smart way to hedge exposure across the card. Anyone still comparing platforms before fight night should check current FanDuel promo code terms and BetMGM promo code offers, both of which tend to run fight-week specials around marquee UFC cards. Bettors who prefer a different format entirely can also look at Kalshi promo code markets or browse the sportsbooks hub for a full rundown of where the best UFC 329 markets are being offered. Whichever way the card breaks, this is one of the deeper betting slates the promotion has put together in some time, and there’s value to be found beyond just the main event.