Bo Bichette, Cody Bellinger, and Pete Alonso: 3 MLB Batter Props to Back This Saturday

Saturday’s slate is loaded with contact hitters in good spots, and three names stand out once you dig past the box score. Bo Bichette and Cody Bellinger are on opposite sides of the same Subway Series finale at Yankee Stadium, while Pete Alonso brings his best power month of the year into Rogers Centre. All three lines have real value if you know where to look.

These aren’t gut-feel picks. Each one is built on a specific matchup edge — a lefty-heavy lineup spot, a hot recent stretch, or a raw home run rate that the sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in. Here’s the breakdown.

Bo Bichette Keeps Hitting the Gaps

Bichette is priced at +127 to clear Over 1.5 Total Bases against the Yankees on Saturday, and the number undersells what he’s done with the bat in his first season in Queens. He’s slashing .265/.317/.399 with 16 home runs, 73 RBI, and 227 total bases across 144 games — a full-season workload that puts him on pace for one of the more productive years of his career in terms of total damage done, even if the average dipped a bit from his Toronto peak.

The projection here has him at 1.6 total bases for the game, which lines up with a player who racks up extra-base hits at a steady clip — 24 doubles and 16 homers worth of pop in the profile. Facing a Yankees pitching staff on getaway day, with New York’s bullpen already taxed from a series full of high-scoring affairs, Bichette in the two-hole or higher in the Mets order gets more at-bats and more chances to turn a single into a double. FTA grades this a C+ with a 54% cover probability — modest, but the plus-money price makes the math work in your favor over a full slate of these bets.

Cody Bellinger Is Locked In at the Plate

On the other side of that same Yankee Stadium matchup, Bellinger is priced at +110 to go Over 1.5 Total Bases against the Mets, and the recent form makes this one of the sharper plays on the board. Over his last 13 games, Bellinger has gone 20-for-53 — a .377 clip — with two home runs, eight RBI, and 12 runs scored, reaching base in 12 of those 13 contests. He’s arguably the hottest bat in the Yankees lineup right now, and it isn’t close.

Season-long, Bellinger is hitting .266 with 13 home runs, 64 RBI, and a .768 OPS, but those raw numbers understate how he’s trending. He’s already gone deep against the Mets this series, going 2-for-4 with a double and a three-run homer in Friday’s win, and the total-bases projection of 1.7 reflects a hitter who’s both making consistent contact and doing damage when he connects. At +110 with FTA grading it a C+ and a 56% cover probability, this is the higher-floor play of the two Yankee Stadium bats — Bellinger doesn’t need a home run to clear 1.5 bases, a double alone gets it done, and he’s been getting extra-base hits in bunches all month.

Pete Alonso’s Power Surge Continues in Toronto

Alonso heads to Rogers Centre priced at +320 to hit a home run against the Blue Jays, and the raw production behind that number is hard to ignore. He’s belted 34 home runs in 148 games this season, a pace that has him homering in 22.3% of his games played — nearly one in every four appearances. That’s elite power output even by Alonso’s standards, and it puts him ninth in all of MLB in home runs with 97 RBI to go with it, good for fourth-most in the league.

The matchup context matters here too. Toronto’s pitching staff has been homer-prone in stretches this season, and Rogers Centre has never been a pitcher’s ballpark when the ball is in the air. Alonso is a dead-pull power hitter who thrives against fastballs he can extend on, and a Blue Jays staff working through a stretch run with postseason positioning on the line isn’t going to be able to consistently avoid the strike zone against a hitter of his caliber. At +320, you’re getting plus-money on a player performing at nearly a one-in-four home run rate over a full season — that’s the kind of number sharp bettors jump on before the market catches up. If you’re shopping for the best number on this prop, checking the FanDuel promo code before locking in your bet is worth the extra minute.

Today’s Edge

All three of these bets lean on the same idea: recent form and raw power output that the current lines haven’t fully absorbed. Bichette and Bellinger both benefit from playing in a high-scoring environment at Yankee Stadium, and Alonso’s power surge makes him one of the best home run bets on the entire board today.

• Bo Bichette OVER 1.5 Total Bases vs Yankees (+127)
• Cody Bellinger OVER 1.5 Total Bases vs Mets (+110)
• Pete Alonso TO HIT A HOME RUN vs Blue Jays (+320)

Lock these in before first pitch — all three carry real analytical support behind the number, not just name recognition.