Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani, Gunnar Henderson: 3 MLB Home Run and Total Bases Props to Back Today

Saturday’s MLB slate is loaded with thump, and three of the league’s most dangerous hitters are sitting in plus-money territory to leave the yard. Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani, and Gunnar Henderson have all been running hot at the plate over the past few weeks, and the sportsbooks are still paying out well over 2-to-1 on each of them going deep or clearing extra bases tonight.

These aren’t longshot dart-throws — all three picks are built on real, recent power surges and lineup spots that maximize opportunity. Here’s the analytical breakdown on each before first pitch.

Kyle Schwarber to Homer vs. Yankees (+260)

Schwarber has been one of the most reliable power threats in baseball all year, sitting at 34 home runs on the season, and he’s not slowing down. Over his last 21 games he’s gone deep 10 times — a rate that would put him on pace for well over 70 homers across a full season if sustained. That stretch has come with a .263 average and a .379 on-base percentage, meaning the power hasn’t come at the expense of plate discipline; he’s still working counts and getting pitches to drive.

Facing the Yankees on Saturday, Schwarber is priced at +260 to hit a home run, one of the shorter numbers on the entire slate’s home run board, which tells you the market already respects the recent surge. A hitter running a homer every other game over three weeks, still getting on base at a near-.380 clip, is exactly the profile sharp bettors look for in a plus-money home run prop.

Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases vs. Mets

Ohtani doesn’t need much introduction, but the shape of his recent form matters here. He’s also priced around +290 to homer outright on Saturday, and that same power surge makes the total bases number the smarter, higher-probability way to attack this matchup. A double, a home run, or even a single plus a stolen extra base easily clears 1.5 total bases, and Ohtani has been doing exactly that kind of damage lately.

The beauty of the total bases route over the straight home run bet is the multiple paths to cash. Ohtani doesn’t have to go deep to hit the over — a two-hit game, an extra-base knock, or a walk-and-steal-plus-single sequence all get it done. Given how locked in his bat speed and exit velocity have looked in recent weeks, betting the total bases prop is arguably the sharpest way to play his current power surge without needing the ball to leave the yard.

Gunnar Henderson to Homer vs. Braves

Henderson rounds out this trio at +300 to hit a home run against Atlanta. The Orioles shortstop has quietly built some of the best raw power numbers at his position in baseball, and he’s shown flashes of exactly that form in recent weeks. At +300, the number represents real value for a hitter who has the bat speed and lineup protection to turn any mistake pitch into a souvenir.

Camden Yards has also historically played as one of the friendlier home run parks in the sport, particularly for a pull-heavy left-handed bat like Henderson’s. That park factor, combined with his recent power output, makes this a prop worth attacking even at plus-260-to-300 odds across the major books.

Lock These In

All three of these bets lean on the same theme: real, recent power performance the market hasn’t fully caught up to yet. Check FanDuel promo code offers before placing these, since line shopping on home run props can be the difference between plus-240 and plus-300 on the same player.

• Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run vs. Yankees (+260)
• Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 total bases vs. Mets (check your book, priced near even money)
• Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run vs. Braves (+300)

Three legitimate power threats, three plus-money numbers, and three recent stat lines that back up every one of them. These are the kind of props that separate bettors who track form from those just chasing names.