3 MLB Batter Props to Back Today: Alvarez, Goodman, and Baldwin

The MLB slate is stacked with hot bats tonight, and three hitters stand out above the rest of the board: Yordan Alvarez, Hunter Goodman, and Drake Baldwin are all running at a level that makes their respective prop lines look soft. This isn’t a “hope for a good day” card — it’s a collection of hitters currently performing well above their season norms, in spots that reward exactly what they do best.

Line shopping matters here, so check DraftKings promo code offers before locking anything in, since total bases and home run markets can move fast once lineups are official. Here’s the full breakdown on all three picks.

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez has been one of the most dangerous right-handed-pitching killers in baseball all year, and the shape of his production against RHP is the entire case for this bet. Alvarez is sitting on a 1.131 OPS against right-handers this season, a number that separates him from almost every other hitter in the league regardless of role. He’s not just getting hits — he’s driving the ball with authority, and that shows up directly in total bases production.

The recent form only strengthens the play. Over his last seven days, Alvarez has posted a 1.136 OPS, meaning the season-long dominance hasn’t cooled off even slightly as the calendar has turned. He’s already clubbed 31 home runs this season, and a hitter with that kind of raw power over a 1.5 total bases number only needs one clean extra-base hit — a double or a homer — to clear it outright. Given his current form against right-handed pitching specifically, that’s a very low bar for a hitter operating at this level.

This isn’t a situational lean, either. Alvarez’s power profile means even a “quiet” game where he singles twice can clear the number, and a single extra-base knock ends the bet instantly. Against a matchup that plays into his strengths, the over is the side with the far larger margin for error.

Hunter Goodman to Hit a Home Run

Hunter Goodman has been must-watch television lately, and Yes on the home run prop is squarely in play given everything lining up tonight. Goodman has 30 home runs on the season, a number that already places him among the game’s premier power threats at his position, but it’s his last seven days that make this pick jump off the page: a 1.875 OPS over that stretch, a mark that’s almost unheard of even in small samples. He hit three home runs in a single game just yesterday, a sign that his timing and bat speed are peaking at exactly the right moment.

Then there’s the environment. Coors Field carries a well-documented run and power boost, with a park factor sitting around 1.2 for home runs — the ball simply travels differently at altitude, and fly balls that die at sea level carry out in Denver. Add a 92-degree day to that equation and the air gets even thinner, which typically translates to more carry on well-struck balls. For a hitter already running historically hot, Coors Field on a scorching afternoon is close to the best possible setup for a home run prop.

Betting a Yes home run prop always carries variance since it only takes one swing, but stacking Goodman’s current power surge on top of Coors Field’s altitude and a hot weather day gives this bet real analytical support rather than just name recognition.

Drake Baldwin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

If there’s one hitter on this slate who profiles as the hottest bat in baseball right now, it’s Drake Baldwin. Over his last 10 games, Baldwin is 17-for-38 — a .447 batting average — with three home runs and 11 RBI in that span. That kind of production over a two-week window isn’t a hot streak, it’s a hitter locked in at an elite level, squaring up virtually everything thrown his way.

The underlying numbers back it up further. Baldwin’s OPS over his last seven days sits at an absurd 2.090, a figure that reflects both high contact rates and serious power output happening simultaneously. A combined hits + runs + RBIs prop rewards exactly this kind of profile, since Baldwin doesn’t need one big stat category to clear the number — he can get there through any combination of a base hit, a run scored, or an RBI, and right now he’s collecting all three at a rate few hitters in the league can match.

At 2.5 for the combined total, Baldwin only needs three total events across hits, runs, and RBIs to cash — a threshold his recent pace clears with room to spare. Given the volume of contact he’s making and the RBI production riding alongside it, this is the safest math play of the three picks on tonight’s board.

Today’s Edge

All three of these picks are built on the same foundation: real, current form backed by the underlying numbers, not name value alone. Alvarez’s split dominance, Goodman’s power surge meeting a perfect Coors Field setup, and Baldwin’s absurd two-week hot streak all point in the same direction.

• Yordan Alvarez OVER 1.5 Total Bases
• Hunter Goodman YES Home Run
• Drake Baldwin OVER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Check current lines before betting, but based on the recent form across all three hitters, this is as sharp a batter props card as the slate offers today.