If you’ve been following my Twitter feed you’ll see I linked to a great article in The Athletic today which highlighted the drastic changes we’ve seen over the last week regarding batting average, strikeouts, and spin rate.
This is one of my favorite charts:
As I made clear yesterday – this is a huge opportunity for bettors to get in on strikeout props before the algos have a chance to adapt. Yesterday I picked all unders and went 3-0. I hope that is a good sign of things to come.
Let’s try this again…
Tigers @ Royals, 8:10 pm ET
This one may be a tough thing for people to bet on because the Royals’ Mike Minor has been striking out people at an impressive rate this year. That said, I’m picking unders on pitchers like Minor whose movement doesn’t match their stuff. The line is set at 6.5 on Barstool Sportsbook and I’ll take the under at +125.
Marlins @ Cardinals, 8:15 pm ET
Trevor Rogers is starting for the Marlins and he’s been fantastic this year… until now. I’m predicting a tough night for him against this St. Louis lineup. I’ll take the under 6.5 and -121 at DraftKings.
Padres @ Rockies, 8:40 pm ET
By now you all know I’m a Yu Darvish fan and like seeing him in a Padres uniform, but in Colorado I don’t think this ends well. FanDuel has the line set at 7.5 and I’ll take the under and -160.
Come back again — same bat-channel — Batman out!