The Texans and Jets are set for a big clash this Thursday, and with Houston’s strong season meeting New York’s rough streak, we noting that there’s plenty to keep an eye on.
From breakout rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud to key veterans like Joe Mixon and Davante Adams, here are the top 5 prop bets to load your bet slip with.
Odds: -115
The Texans’ rookie quarterback, C.J. Stroud is looking great this year. He has shown surprising consistency and poise, averaging over 240 passing yards in his recent games.
Against a Jets defense ranked second in passing yards allowed, this might look like a bad bet for most, but Houston’s high-paced offense will likely keep Stroud slinging the ball throughout the game. They’ll look to challenge the Jets in the air.
The Jets' secondary is no pushover, but with Houston missing top receivers, Stroud will need to leverage the short and intermediate passing game, which could rack up quite a few yards.
Considering Stroud has crossed the 223.5-yard mark in 4 of his last 5 games, we expect him to meet that total once again.
His recent history against AFC opponents shows he’s capable of high-yardage performances, and with limited options in the backfield, the Texans will likely lean on him to drive the offense.
Odds: -145
The Jets’ defensive unit has been fairly vulnerable on the ground. That means Joe Mixon is in the ideal spot to exploit that.
Mixon has been an absolute TD machine, with at least 1 score in 7 of his last 8 road games. Coming off a strong performance against Indy, where he logged 102 rushing yards and a touchdown, Mixon’s momentum is building at the right time for the Jets matchup.
Given Houston’s reliance on him, Mixon’s odds as an anytime TD scorer at -145 are pretty decent, though expected. We think he will get his fair share of goal-line carries, and with his current stats, there’s a solid chance he’ll punch one into the end zone.
Houston’s offensive strategy revolves around establishing the run game, so Mixon should see plenty of touches in the red zone.
Odds: -120
With the Texans’ top wideouts out, Tank Dell is undoubtedly going to play a major role in the passing game and will help Stroud hit the over on his yardage.
Dell has steadily been earning more targets, and Stroud’s reliance on him has been evident over the last 3 games.
Facing the Jets’ strong secondary, Stroud will need a reliable short-yardage target, and Dell fits that role perfectly. He might not get the big plays, but he’ll get the targets and rack up yards 1 reception at a time.
Dell has covered the 4.5 receptions line in his recent games, and we think Thursday will be no different. His ability to get open quickly and make things happen after the catch could lead to a high-volume outing.
Even against a top-tier Jets pass defense, Dell’s involvement in the short-pass game should keep him busy, making the over on 4.5 receptions a solid bet for your bet slip.
Odds: -115
Garrett Wilson is one of the Jets’ few offensive bright spots, but he’ll have a tough task against a Texans defense that’s been nothing short of solid in recent weeks.
Wilson has gone under this 61.5-yard mark in a few games already, and with Houston’s first-ranked time of possession, the Jets may struggle to get him as many targets as he’d like which will absolutely crush his overall yardage.
The Jets have also been inconsistent in their passing game, and Wilson has suffered from this volatility.
Given New York’s low passing efficiency and myriad of WR targets, combined with Houston’s ability to control the clock, Wilson may not get the opportunities from Rodgers he needs to hit this yardage total.
Look for Houston’s defensive game plan to keep Wilson in check, limiting his ability to break big plays and making the under on his receiving yards a smart pick.
Odds: +115
Aaron Rodgers is no stranger to prime-time moments, and despite the Jets’ 5-game skid, he remains one of the league’s most capable quarterbacks in clutch situations. Given the current status of the team, we might just call this a clutch moment.
Rodgers has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 3 of his last 4 games against AFC opponents, and Thursday night’s matchup is a great chance for him to continue that trend.
With the Texans’ focus likely on shutting down Breece Hall and the Jets’ ground game, Rodgers might just find opportunities through the air, especially in the red zone. His chemistry with Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson unquestionably provides multiple scoring options, and he’ll be looking to end the Jets’ losing streak with a statement game.
The +115 odds make this a great value bet if you’re backing Rodgers to bounce back with a strong performance — he definitely needs it.
Each of these picks combines recent player metrics with the matchup dynamics of a TNF game.
From Stroud’s impressive rookie campaign to Mixon’s touchdown streak, there are several key prop plays with strong potential to build your bankroll.
Whether you’re betting on Stroud’s passing abilities or Rodgers finding the end zone, this game offers plenty of action to make it a thrilling Thursday night.