Week 2 of the NFL slate closes out with a Monday night party in Philadelphia. The (0-1) Atlanta Falcons take on the (1-0) Philadelphia Eagles, and there is no shortage of storylines here.
Saquon Barkely looked completely revitalized in the Eagles week 1 win over the Packers, racking up 132 total yards and 3 touchdowns. With AJ Brown out tonight, Philly will hope for another monster performance out of Barkley.
The Falcons entered 2024 with high hopes for new QB Kirk Cousins and OC Zac Robinson. Cousins looked rusty in week 1, which should encourage Robsinon to lean on the Falcons' run game to protect Cousins and keep Philly's offense off the field.
We think the Falcons should have success running the ball. The Eagles allowed 7.8 YPC and 414 total yards in their win over the Packers. If Atlanta is able to establish Bijan on the ground, we could be in for another high scoring game.
With that game script in mind, let's jump into our favorite same game parlay for Monday night.
Anytime Philly takes the field, you have to consider betting the over. In fact, 9 of the last 12 Eagles games have gone over this total of 45.5 points.
The Falcons opened with an 18-10 loss to Pittsburght, but we think the offense will perform considerably better in week 2, and it will have to in order to keep pace with the Eagles.
We think early success running the ball with Bijan will create a game script that sees a much more comfortable Kirk Cousins trying to keep pace with the high-powered Eagles offense.
While Devonta Smith and Jahan Dotson should both see increased target shares with AJ Brown out, it's Goedert's receiving prop that caught our eye. Over his last 10 games, Goedert has averaged over 50 receiving YPG, and that is with Brown on the field.
With Brown out, the Eagles will need someone capabable of moving the sticks, making contested catches over the middle of the field. Look for Goedert to fill that role and sail over his receiving prop.
Robinson was clearly the focal point of Atlanta's game plan in week 1. He received 18 carries and 5 targets, and racked up 111 total yards in a game where the Falcons only managed 10 points.
Given the Eagles week 1 performance against Green Bay, we expect him to convert similar usage into much more production this week. Look for him to finish with right around 25 total touches for 120 total yards, easily covering this rushing + receiving prop.
Total Odds for Same Game Parlay: +440