Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season is here, which means the return of our weekly anytime touchdown picks. Anytime touchdown scorer is one of the most popular types of prop betting and our team has identified our top 10 picks for the opening slate.
Odds are courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook, where you can get $200 in bonus bets when you use promo code 365BV4 and place any $5+ week 1 bet.
Our picks start with the Thursday night opener and work through the entire slate, hitting every primetime game along the way.
Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs
Looking at the TNF matchup between the Ravens and the Saints, Rashee Rice stands out as offering the best value. Rice scored 4 touchdowns in his final 8 games of the 2023-24 season and should see his role expand in year 2 with Patrick Mahomes. The matchup is particularly intriguing if the Ravens elect to have Kyle Hamilton shadow Travis Kelce, freeing Rice up to work against the Ravens' #4 corner.
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles
Keeping with our trend of second-year receivers who closed out their rookie campaigns with a bang, we like Jayden Reed to find the endzone against the Eagles on Friday. Reed scored 3 touchdowns in the Packers' final 3 games last season. Primarily playing out of the slot, Reed should benefit from working against the Eagles' weak group of slot corners.
Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints
The Saints' offseason hire of Klint Kubiak has the New Orleans fan base buzzing, and while we are buying in (love Olave's yards prop here), Derek Carr's track record in the red zone is still abysmal. Hill scored in his lone preseason appearance and should play a prominent role in the red zone for the Saints this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins
Lawrence rushed for 4 touchdowns in his final 8 games last season and faces a Miami defense that allowed the second-most rushing TDs to opposing QBs last season. At +275 odds, we're willing to take a shot that he scrambles for a score in week 1.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons
If the Falcons are looking to make a statement in week 1, getting their underutilized tight end involved early is a clear way to do so. Pitts should be able to find the end zone against a Steelers defense that allowed the third-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends in 2023.
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants
If Daboll and Danny Dimes are dialing up Malik Nabers' number early and often on Sunday, it's going to create opportunities for Hyatt to beat 1-on-1 coverage. The Vikings' secondary has issues and we think one of those opportunities turns into a long touchdown. We'll take the bait and throw a dart at Hyatt's +380 odds.
Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks
Fant failed to find the end zone last season, but he should see even more red zone targets this year with the Seahawks moving on from Colby Parkinson and Will Dissly this offseason. Denver was the worst defense in the NFL vs opposing tight ends last season and we think that trend continues here in week 1.
Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Robinson should see his red zone production increase in Jayden Daniels's rookie season. Defenses have to respect the threat of the QB run, but the Commanders aren't going to be in a hurry to get the #2 pick beat up with goal line carries. At +200 odds, Robinson is one of our favorite week 1 RB anytime TD bets.
LA Rams vs Detroit Lions
Cooper Kupp is back and should be Stafford's #1 target in what could be a shootout in Detroit. McVay is one of the more creative red zone playcallers in the league, and we like the odds of him finding a way to get Kupp into the end zone in the season opener.
New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers
Sportsbooks are pricing a Breece Hall TD the same as Aiyuk, Samuel, or Wilson, making him the clear pick on Monday night. Hall scored 9 touchdowns in 17 games last season, but with Rodgers back and an improved offensive line, that number can only go up in 2024.