New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) gestures after a touchdown by wide receiver Michael Thomas (13), during the second half at an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Nov. 24, 2019, in New Orleans. Butch Dill | Associated Press
NFL

Monday Night Football: Mims picks Colts vs Saints and likes a Drew Brees prop bet

Robert Mims

These are my key factors for the game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints:

  • Colts are 6-7 and Saints are 10-3.

  • The Saints have clinched the NFC South and are playing to improve their playoff seed.

  • The Colts have faded after a promising start and have a 2% chance of making the playoffs.

  • The Saints are coming in after losing 48-46 to the 49ers.

  • The Colts lost to the Bucs 38-35.

  • The Saints are the favorite at -9.0.

  • The over/under total is 46.5.

  • The money line is Saints -430 and Colts +330.

  • The Saints are the home team.

Drew Brees is playing extremely well. He has 12 TDs and 1 interception in his last 4 games. Jacoby Brissett is playing at a mediocre level over the last 4 games. He has 4 TDs and 3 interception during that period.

The prop bet that will make this game interesting is the total passing touchdowns of Drew Brees. His total is listed at 1.5. The price is -200 for over and +150 for under. I project that he goes over. Brees usually plays well in prime time.

I have a lean toward the over. The Saints are explosive and average 26.5 a game. While the Colts have trouble scoring above 20 points, the Saints defense is banged up. They score over 20 tonight. I am 18-9 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday.

Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. See you Friday and I will make selections for the Saturday tripleheader slate on the NFL Network.

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