As we roll into Week 11, we’re seeing some big matchups on the horizon and that gets us excited for the big bets. From game lines to props, there are all sorts of bets to make and we like the odds the bookmakers are putting out.
With the SEC and Big 12 races tightening, each game undoubtedly has a high-stakes impact. This is especially true for ranked teams fighting for a playoff spot.
So, how will these games and props pan out? We think you might be surprised.
Alabama: -2.5 -120
LSU: u59 -113
Alabama heads to Baton Rouge for a massive SEC clash against LSU. It’s a game both sides have been looking forward to all season.
Both teams sit at 6-2, but Alabama’s defensive discipline and powerful ground game could be the big difference-maker here.
Jalen Milroe has been relatively effective under center despite having a few hiccups earlier in the season. He’s showcasing a solid balance of passing and rushing in games as of late.
Alabama’s defense ranks 52nd nationally in total yards allowed, but they'll need to tighten that up against a dominant LSU offense that ranks 7th in passing yards per game, led by none other than Garrett Nussmeier.
LSU’s defense, however, has struggled against both the run and the pass. They’re currently sitting at 221st in rushing defense.
Alabama’s run game, with Jahmyr Gibbs leading the charge, has the potential to take full advantage of this weakness. We expect Alabama to control the pace of the game and the clock with their ground attack, while LSU attempts to stretch the field through the air.
Pick: Alabama -2.5
Prop Bet: Jalen Milroe Over 1.5 Passing TDs — With LSU’s leaky secondary, we feel that Milroe could have multiple scoring chances through the air.
Brigham Young: -3.5 -110
Utah: o40.5 -110
The Holy War is back! This time BYU enters the game undefeated, while Utah looks to spoil the party at home.
BYU’s strength is unquestionably in its passing game. Jake Retzlaff has already notched 18 TDs this season and continues to be on a roll.
Utah’s strength, on the other hand, is its stout defense. Despite a 4-4 record, Utah is only allowing a mere 225 passing yards per game, and their run defense, ranking 114th, may slow down BYU’s balanced attack. That doesn’t leave too many options for BYU to strike with.
While BYU’s offense has been fairly efficient, Utah’s ability to grind out long drives and control the clock will definitely frustrate BYU’s rhythm.
In a game with a low overall point total, we expect a hard-hitting match with Utah trying to control the ball and limit BYU’s scoring.
Pick: Utah +3.5
Prop Bet: BYU Under 22.5 Total Points — Utah’s defensive dominance will keep this game below the points total for BYU.
Oklahoma: -2.5 -124
Missouri: u42 -110
Oklahoma faces a tough road test against Missouri despite what you see with the rankings.
Oklahoma’s defense has struggled all season and they’re currently ranked 191st in passing yards allowed per game. This will be trouble against Missouri QB Brady Cook, who’s thrown for nearly 2,000 yards this year.
Missouri’s balanced offense, on the other hand, led by Nate Noel in the backfield, will be hard to contain if Oklahoma can’t get their secondary firing on all cylinders.
Oklahoma’s offense has been relatively inconsistent as well.
QB Jackson Arnold has shown a few flashes of dominance but we think he will struggle to pound a Missouri defense that ranks solidly in rushing defense.
We’re expecting Missouri’s balanced attack to keep them in the game, and with their defense applying enough pressure on Arnold, the score should be close as well.
Pick: Missouri +3
Prop Bet: Brady Cook Over 200 Passing Yards — Against a weak Oklahoma pass defense, Cook will blow through the 200-yard mark comfortably.
Iowa State: -2.5 -120
Kansas: u51 -113
The Cyclones head to Kansas in a Big 12 battle where both teams bring high-powered offenses.
Rocco Becht has led Iowa State with 13 passing touchdowns. He’s a big reason they have a 7-1 record.
Meanwhile, Kansas has the Big 12’s top rushing offense. They’re averaging 211.6 yards per game thanks to Devin Neal’s strong running game.
While Iowa State’s defense ranks better overall, there’s no question that Kansas’s ability to control the game on the ground at home ratchets up the difficult matchup for the Cyclones.
Kansas QB Jalon Daniels will surely be a factor with his dual-threat capabilities, especially if Iowa State’s defense is forced to overcommit to stop the run. With that, Iowa is out of options and will lose out to Kansas.
Pick: Kansas +3
Prop Bet: Devin Neal Over 100 Rushing Yards — With Kansas relying on their run game, Neal will break the 100-yard mark.
Georgia: -2.5 -110
Ole Miss: u55 -112
In a marquee SEC showdown, Georgia heads to Oxford to take on Ole Miss.
The Bulldogs come into this game as slight favorites but will face a tough challenge from Ole Miss’s potent offense, led by QB Jaxson Dart.
Ole Miss ranks 1st in the nation in passing yards per game, while Georgia’s defense is holding opponents to just 299 passing yards, ranking 18th. It’s easy to see where this game is going and that makes it just that much more fun to watch.
Georgia’s QB Carson Beck will need to be as sharp as a tack. He’ll need to take advantage of an Ole Miss defense that has shown vulnerability, particularly against the pass.
While Georgia’s defense is strong, they haven’t faced an offense as explosive as Ole Miss’s this season.
We’re not saying they haven’t had challenges, but Ole Miss is like nobody else.
This game could turn into a shootout if Ole Miss dictates the tempo and forces Georgia to keep up in scoring.
Pick: Ole Miss +2.5
Prop Bet: Jaxson Dart Over 2.5 Passing TDs — In what could be a high-scoring game, Dart will likely have multiple opportunities to throw for scores.
These matchups bring plenty of excitement and betting potential. If you weren’t excited for this week before, we know you are now.
With several teams looking to cement their position for bowl season and playoff consideration, we’re looking forward to loading up our bet slips with these picks and props.