The Denver Nuggets return home after two massive wins in Minnesota. Through the first 4 games, the home team has yet to win a game in this series.
Minnesota won games 1 and 2 as underdogs with the under cashing in both games. Denver won games 3 and 4 as underdogs and the over cashed in both games.
Looking at the best available odds for Game 5, the Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites at nearly every sportsbook. The total ranges from 205.5 to 206.5 depending on the bookmaker.
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +4.5 | +164 | o206.5 |
| Denver Nuggets | -4.5 | -175 | u205.5 |
We were able to bet the Nuggets moneyline in Games 3 and 4 and get plus-money betting Denver. However, with the Nuggets now laying 4.5 points, we are going to find plus money by betting the Nuggets' first quarter and full-time moneylines.
The Nuggets won each of the first quarters in Minnesota by an average of 7.5-point favorites. After dropping games 1 and 2 in Denver, we are betting they will be amped up to defend home court and come out fast on Tuesday.
This bet is worth jumping on early and shopping at several sportsbooks. DraftKings has it available at +135, FanDuel at +125, and ESPN Bet at -105 🤡.
One major adjustment Denver made after their two losses at home this series was the increased Christian Braun minutes. Braun’s minutes have gone 19/11/18/25 this series while going 3 of 4 from downtown and smashing this PRA prop in Game 4’s win.
After playing big-time minutes in last season’s NBA Finals and Western Conference Finals, look for Coach Malone to trust Braun in the 2nd and 3rd quarters while they give their big 3 some rest. The pesty wingman should have no issue hitting this prop.
Playing this down to +250, Anthony Edwards has a real chance to go nuclear tonight. After watching SGA take over the Dallas game in the 4th quarter last night, there’s no doubt that Edwards can do the same here in a pivotal Game 5.
ANT-MAN has hit this point mark in four of eight games this postseason, and coming off of back-to-back losses during the regular season has dropped 37/13/38/24.
In a playoff atmosphere with increased minutes and adrenaline, expect Edwards to do everything he can in order for the Wolves to take a 3-2 series lead back home. A fun little stat - the winner of Game 5 goes on to win the series more than 80% of the time in the NBA.