After going 5-2 last night, that's 14-3 over the past three nights, and I'm in the black for the first time in forever. #AlwaysFadeFats maybe ready to return.
Kristaps Porzingis has had 9 or more rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games. Tonight, he plays the Hawks who rank 24th in FG pct. I like him Over 8.5. The Mavs, on the other hand, are ranked 30th in 3-point FG pct., which should mean some long rebounds. Trae Young averages 4 boards/game and Over 4.5 he's +137. Cam Reddish averages 4.3 rebounds a game and Over 4.5 he's +110. I'm taking them both and hedging with Hawks/Mavericks Over 232.5 just in case a lot of shots fall.
Granted some of their offensive numbers are thrown off by when they had Victor Oladipo, but the Pacers have been averaging 113/game and some of those games have come against teams who play defense. 117.5 against the Nets seems doable, even if they lose 128-118. And because I always like to have a couple longshots even if they bring down my average, I'm looking for a James Harden triple double at +300 and the wide-open game to make a Domantas Sabonis triple-double possible at +900.
Lastly, there should be a lot of up-and-down action when the Hornets play the Grizzlies and LaMelo Ball and Ja Morant may both be looking to impress. I'm picking LaMelo for the double-double at +150.
All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.
Hawks at MAVERICKS 7:35 pm, Pacers at NETS, 8:05 pm, Hornets at GRIZZLIES, 8:05 pm
3-pointers: Domantas Sabonis (Pacers) triple-double +900 (returns $100.00)
James Harden (Nets) triple-double +300 (returns $40.00)
2-pointers: LaMelo Ball (Hornets) double-double +150 (returns $25.70)
Trae Young (Hawks) Over 4.5 rebounds +137 (returns $23.70)
Cam Reddish (Hawks) Over 4.5 rebounds +110 (returns $21.00)
Free throws: Hawks vs. Mavericks Over 232.5 points -112 (returns $19.00)
Steals: Pacers over 117.5 -113 (returns $18.90)
Kristaps Porzingis (Mavericks) Over 8.5 rebounds -118 (returns $18.50)
Winners:
2-pointers: Nikola Vucevic (Magic) Over 39.5 points, rebounds assists -104 (returns $19.70) Vucevic went off oin the 3rd and finished with 27-15-4.
Free throws: John Wall (Rockets) Over 31.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) The Rockets got pummeled but Wall went for 25-4-6 and a 35 PRA.
Eric Gordon (Rockets) Over 25.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) The Rockets got pummeled but Gordon went for 23-1-3 and a 27 PRA.
Jerami Grant (Pistons) Over 31.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) Grant scorched the Nets for 32-5-4 and a 41 PRA.
Jazz over 112.5 -122 (returns $18.20) The Jazz put up 42 in the 3rd on the way to a 122-108 win.
Losers:
3-pointers: Trail Blazers -6 Over Magic and Over 220.5 +260 (returns $36.00) Blazers covered the 6 but two sub-50 quarters kept the total below 221.
Steals: Knicks vs Heat Over 208.5 points -112 (returns $19.00) This looked like another W until a crushing 36-point 4th quarter, Heat won 98-96.
Canceled:
0
$70 wagered (5-2), $95.20 returned.
Day 45: +$25.20
Total: +$24.75 (98-110 off 208 $10 wagers)