The Phillies and Mets are locked in a high-stakes playoff battle as they head into game 3 of the series in the Big Apple. Each has a win to their name and both teams boast talented lineups and strong pitching.
To get you ready for this big-time matchup, we’ve put together 5 of the best prop bets for the game.
Odds: -215
Nick Castellanos has been red-hot against the Mets. He’s recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight games against them.
His consistency at the plate, especially in playoff situations like the NLDS, makes this prop feel like a lock. Castellanos has thrived in high-pressure games, and with his bat heating up in recent games, he should be able to grab at least one hit off Sean Manaea, who has struggled against strong right-handed hitters.
Given the Phillies' offense ranks 5th in batting average at .257, and Manaea's recent shaky outings, Castellanos stands a strong chance to keep his hit streak alive.
The line may be juiced at -215, but it's a safe bet for today.
Odds: +200
Brandon Nimmo has popped up as a clutch performer in the postseason, and he’s been especially effective against the Phillies.
He’s driven in at least one run in each of the last six games against Philadelphia. Nimmo’s patient approach at the plate, combined with the Mets' opportunistic lineup, gives him a great chance to drive in a run tonight. What really helps his chances is that runners are frequently on base against Aaron Nola, who has allowed three or more earned runs in three of his last five starts. He’s usually not this cold, but baseball is a streaky sport.
With the added pressure of the NLDS and the Mets at home, Nimmo’s ability to deliver in key moments will be extremely important.
At +200 odds, this is a high-value play with a strong probability of hitting.
Odds: -105
Aaron Nola has been a consistent strikeout machine, especially in playoff settings.
He has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine Tuesday night starts against National League teams with winning records, which includes matchups like tonight.
The Mets lineup has shown it’s not immune to striking out, ranking 15th in the league with 1,455 strikeouts this season.
Nola’s ability to mix up his pitches and keep hitters off-balance should allow him to rack up at least six strikeouts.
This bet is well-supported by his recent performances, and the even odds make it even more attractive. We wouldn’t pass up a bet like this.
Odds: +130
Alec Bohm has been one of the Phillies' most reliable hitters in road playoff games.
He’s hit this mark in four of the last five games when the Phillies have been favored on the road. In his last matchup against the Mets, Bohm recorded multiple XBH, which really highlights his ability to stretch singles into doubles and pile up total bases.
With Bohm facing Manaea, who gave up multiple hard-hit balls in his last few regular-season starts, Bohm's chances of securing more than one total base look like a good bet to us.
His ability to make solid contact against left-handed pitchers like Manaea makes the +130 line really nice.
Odds: +450
Bryce Harper loves the big moments. The playoffs are where he thrives.
In this series, Harper already has shown his power, and he’s hit at least one home run in three of his last four playoff games against NL East opponents.
Harper has consistently been one of the Phillies' best hitters in October, and his ability to hit left-handers well increases his odds of going deep against Manaea.
While this is the riskiest of today’s picks, it comes with a pretty decent upside.
At +450 odds, we think the payout potential makes this prop worth a shot.
Harper has a knack for delivering when the stakes are highest, and with his swing dialed in during this series, he could easily connect for a home run tonight. On top of that, we love any time home runs.
Today's Phillies-Mets game offers plenty of player-prop betting opportunities, especially with both teams featuring talented lineups and playoff-tested stars.
Castellanos and Nimmo both offer solid value with their hit and RBI potential. Harper's home run prop provides high-upside for bettors seeking a bigger return. Nola and Bohm round out this list as two players we think are set for standout performances in this ever-so-important game.
Each of these props brings good value for a high-intensity playoff matchup, making tonight’s game an excellent opportunity to place strategic bets.