We’re already through one-third of the MLB season, and we’re already seeing some top contenders looking to make a run for the World Series. So, it’s only fitting that we highlight the MLB odds to win the World Series so you can make smarter bets at the sportsbook.
The current odds highlight a mix of perennial powerhouses and surprising contenders. Here’s an in-depth look at the top teams vying for the championship and how their performances so far back up their odds.
The Dodgers opened the season with relatively decent odds at +800, but their current odds at +325 reflect their dominance in the National League West. They’re definitely out-pacing what Vegas came into the season with.
They boast a 33-19 record, the best in their division, supported by strong performances from key players and solid team stats.
Shohei Ohtani has been a standout, hitting .354 with 13 home runs and 31 RBIs. His ability to both pitch and hit at an elite level makes him a unique asset, though he’s not pitching this year due to his surgery. That’s impressive, given they’re not even using him in a pitching role yet. Mookie Betts has also been impressive, batting .330 with eight home runs and 29 RBIs, followed closely by Freddie Freeman, who adds to the offensive firepower with a .286 average, five home runs, and 29 RBIs, while Will Smith has been reliable behind the plate with a .301 average, five home runs, and 32 RBIs.
The team’s overall batting average is .257, with 75 home runs and 242 RBIs, showcasing one of the best offensive powerhouses in the MLB. On the pitching side, the Dodgers have a team ERA of a moderate 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.18, showcasing a balanced approach that makes them one of the top teams gunning for the WS.
The Braves started the season with odds at +650 and have seen them shorten to +550, reflecting a slightly better-than-expected performance in the National League East, where they hold a 29-18 record.
Matt Olson has been a key player, contributing where he can; despite a .223 average, he has hit seven home runs and driven in 26 RBIs. Ozzie Albies, batting .269 with three home runs and 23 RBIs, and Austin Riley, with a .245 average and three home runs, provide additional support. Where we really see a standout is with Chris Sale, boasting a 7-1 record with a 2.22 ERA and 70 strikeouts. That shows he’s only getting better with age.
The Braves’ team batting average is .242, with 43 home runs and 139 RBIs. That’s not too bad, but they’ll have to do better with the offensive numbers if they’re going to make it to the WS, but they’re easily a playoff contender. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.22, making them a well-rounded team capable of making a deep playoff run.
The Yankees have seen significant movement in their odds, starting the season at +1600 and now at +800. This change highlights their dominant performance, currently leading the dominant American League East with a 35-17 record. They’ve got to keep up the pace if they want to outrun the Baltimore Orioles.
Aaron Judge, to no surprise, has been phenomenal. Batting .299 with 14 home runs and 30 RBIs, he’s really carrying this team through the season. Anthony Volpe has also been impressive, hitting .278 with six home runs and 23 RBIs. Gleyber Torres, although struggling with a .220 average, has contributed three home runs and 14 RBIs. On the mound, Carlos Rodón has been dominant with a 5-2 record, a 2.42 ERA, and a whopping 72 strikeouts. He’s averaging 10 Ks per game!
The Yankees’ team batting average stands at a competitive .257, with 75 home runs and 242 RBIs, similar to the Dodgers. Their pitching staff is fairly strong as well, with a team ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.13, making them a balanced and dangerous team as we work our way into the mid-season.
The Phillies have also improved their odds from +1100 to +800, showing their competitive play in a tough NL East division. Their 37-14 record shows they are a team to watch as the season progresses.
To our surprise, Bryce Harper is leading the charge with a .281 average, 12 home runs, and 37 RBIs. He’s having a standout year so far. J.T. Realmuto is also contributing to the success of the Phillies with a .285 average and seven home runs. On the pitching side, where the Phillies really shine is Zack Wheeler, who has been excellent with a 6-3 record, a 2.53 ERA, and 76 strikeouts. Ranger Suárez is undefeated at 9-0 with a remarkable 1.36 ERA and an absolutely insane 0.79 WHIP.
The Phillies’ team batting average is .249, with 61 home runs and 217 RBIs. That’s not terrible, but it's not as good as their pitching. Their pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.21, showing a solid all-around performance.
The odds are one thing. Records are another.
The current odds reflect a combination of past performance, player statistics, and team dynamics. The Dodgers, with the shortest odds at +325, are justified favorites, given their balance of strong hitting and reliable pitching. Their ability to maintain such high standards through the season will be crucial if they want to get into and through the playoffs.
The Braves, at +550, are not far behind but might be overrated. Their pitching, led by Chris Sale, could be the key to their success in the postseason, but they really have to turn the bats on if they want to make it far.
The Yankees, having improved their odds significantly from the season opener, showcase a potent offense and a strong pitching lineup, positioning them well for a deep playoff run. Sure, they’re riding on the back of Judge, which is understandable, but they might need some other players to step up if they want to win it all in 2024.
The Phillies, while having the longest odds among these teams at +800, have shown they can compete with the best. When we see these odds, we get a feeling that they’re being underrated. They’ve got 2 of the top 5 pitchers in the MLB and we didn’t even mention Aaron Nola who is the 8th overall SP in the MLB. If Bryce Harper can stay hot and their pitching staff keeps doing what it’s doing, they’re well on their way to winning the championship.
Overall, the odds to win the World Series will continue to evolve as the season progresses. Injuries, trades, and player performances will all play a role in shaping the final outcomes. With the trade deadline just over two months away, anything can happen between now and then with much more after that.
We’ll keep you updated on the latest MLB odds to win the World Series.