There is no way on God’s green earth – be it Eagles’ Midnight Green or the Jets’ Gotham Green – I am putting anything down on the spread (-14 or so) for Sunday’s game. Sure, the Jets stink (so the Eagles could win by 20), but the Eagles may not have enough defensive backs to stop me at wide receiver, so the Birds may just have to out-score New York, and to have to do so by two touchdowns in problematic.
So we press on . . .
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>>> If Aaron Rodgers is Aaron Rodgers last week, the Packers put 47 instead of 27 up on the board at Lambeau. The Eagles’ defense limps back into the Linc and will make the stagnant Jets offense look almost normal. Even without DeSean Jackson at his disposal, Carson Wentz can pop 30 or 40 up on the Birds’ ledger, so if the Jets can hold up their end of the offensive bargain, we can make some cash on a flurry of 10 $1 Alternative Total Bets (FanDuel):
Over . . . $1 Wins:
46.5 . . . $1.30
48.5 . . . $1.80
50.5 . . . $2.30
52.5 . . . $3.00
54.5 . . . $4.00
58.5 . . . $7.00
62.5 . . . $9.00
66.5 . . . $11.00
70.5 . . . $36.00
74.5 . . . $70.00
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>>> The Eagles and their opponents have scored 17, 13, 13 and 34 points in their four second quarters so far this season.
The 2Q O/U at FanDuel is 13 at -118. Sounds like a slam dunk (or at least a push) waiting to happen.
Second Quarter Over 13 (-118) . . . $5 / $4.24
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>>> Did we mention the Eagles’ defensive backfield looks like a M*A*S*H unit? We found a Passing Yardage O/U for Jets QB Luke Falk as low as 205.5 at -120 odds (William Hill). Pretty sure Peter Falk could throw for that number against the Birds at this point if he were still with us.
Falk Over 205.5 Passing Yards (-120) . . . $6 / $5
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>>> We cashed in on both Miles Sanders and Jordan Howard Over Rushing Yards each of the last two weeks and we have no intention of stopping now. Especially since FanDuel presents a 45.5 for each when the other places we shopped were in the 48.5 range.
Sanders Over 45.5 Rushings Yards (-118) . . . $5 / $4.24
Howard Over 45.5 Rushings Yards (-118) . . . $5 / $4.24
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>>> Zach Ertz’ first touchdown in 2018 came in Game No. 5. Scoreless so far this season, let’s figure he does the same in 2019, with a cherry or two on top:
Ertz to Score Any Touchdown (+125) . . . . $5 / $6.25
Ertz to Score First TD of Game (+700) . . . $2 / $14.00
Ertz to Score Last TD of Game (+700) . . . . $2 / $14.00
Ertz to Score 2 or More Touchdowns (+750) . . $1 / $7.50
Ertz to Score 3 or More Touchdowns (+4400) . . $1 / $44.00
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>>> Corey Clement hasn’t taken a snap in the last two games despite being healthy and available. Have to think he is getting on the field at some point (and if he doesn’t we get our money back), so let’s take some long odds from DraftKings that he plays and gets a chance to break the plane.
Clement to Score First TD of Game (+2200) . . . $1 / $22.00
Clement to Score Any TD (+10000) . . . . . . . $1 / $100.00
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>>> Might be watching the game with a person who was recently married,so let’s round out the TD picks with someone old (Darren Sproles) and someone new (JJ Arcega-Whiteside).
Sproles to Score First TD of Game (+2200) . . . $1 / $22.00
Sproles to Score Any TD (+500) . . . . . . . . . . . . . $4 / $20.00
A-W to Score First TD of Game (+4400) . . . $1 / $44.00
A-W to Score Any TD (+1000) . . . .. . . . . . . . . $4 / $40.00
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